Forecasts derived from CSU 12-km WRF ensemble mean initialized at 00Z on 20250222
Days are defined as 06Z - 06Z (23 MST - 23 MST)
**UPDATE** 12/9/24: Days 1 & 2 Cheyenne RF model output added!
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DAY 1 FORECAST - Saturday 02/22

** CHEYENNE (KCYS) **

Random Forest: NO wind event

Random Forest Probabilities:
Non-event: 51.17%
Moderate: 46.74%
High: 2.09%

CNN Forecast: HIGH wind event


** FORT COLLINS (CHRISTMAN FIELD) **

Random Forest: NO wind event

Random Forest Probabilities:
Non-event: 96.16%
Moderate: 3.76%
High: 0.08%

CNN Forecast: NO wind event


** BOULDER (NREL) **

Random Forest: MODERATE wind event

Random Forest Probabilities:
Non-event: 35.76%
Moderate: 46.69%
High: 17.54%

CNN Forecast: MODERATE wind event

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DAY 2 FORECAST - Sunday 02/23

** CHEYENNE (KCYS) **

Random Forest: MODERATE wind event

Random Forest Probabilities:
Non-event: 10.74%
Moderate: 64.89%
High: 24.38%

CNN Forecast: HIGH wind event


** FORT COLLINS (CHRISTMAN FIELD) **

Random Forest: NO wind event

Random Forest Probabilities:
Non-event: 50.07%
Moderate: 47.09%
High: 2.84%

CNN Forecast: MODERATE wind event


** BOULDER (NREL) **

Random Forest: HIGH wind event

Random Forest Probabilities:
Non-event: 3.39%
Moderate: 33.15%
High: 63.46%

CNN Forecast: HIGH wind event

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** WIND CATEGORIES (MPH) **

Wind <= 25 or Gust <= 35 ---------> NON-EVENT
25 < Wind <= 40 or 35 < Gust <= 58 ---------> MODERATE
Wind > 40 or Gust > 58 ---------> HIGH
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