Forecasts derived from CSU 12-km WRF ensemble mean initialized at 00Z on 20251212 Days are defined as 06Z - 06Z (23 MST - 23 MST) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- DAY 1 FORECAST - Friday 12/12 ** CHEYENNE (KCYS) ** Random Forest: MODERATE wind event Random Forest Probabilities: Non-event: 24.35% Moderate: 59.01% High: 16.64% CNN Forecast: MODERATE wind event ** FORT COLLINS (CHRISTMAN FIELD) ** Random Forest: NO wind event Random Forest Probabilities: Non-event: 61.81% Moderate: 34.42% High: 3.77% CNN Forecast: HIGH wind event ** BOULDER (NREL) ** Random Forest: MODERATE wind event Random Forest Probabilities: Non-event: 13.42% Moderate: 52.14% High: 34.44% CNN Forecast: MODERATE wind event ------------------------------------------------------------------------ DAY 2 FORECAST - Saturday 12/13 ** CHEYENNE (KCYS) ** Random Forest: MODERATE wind event Random Forest Probabilities: Non-event: 21.19% Moderate: 65.95% High: 12.86% CNN Forecast: MODERATE wind event ** FORT COLLINS (CHRISTMAN FIELD) ** Random Forest: NO wind event Random Forest Probabilities: Non-event: 49.55% Moderate: 49.31% High: 1.14% CNN Forecast: NO wind event ** BOULDER (NREL) ** Random Forest: MODERATE wind event Random Forest Probabilities: Non-event: 11.41% Moderate: 45.43% High: 43.16% CNN Forecast: MODERATE wind event ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** WIND CATEGORIES (MPH) ** Wind <= 25 or Gust <= 35 ---------> NON-EVENT 25 < Wind <= 40 or 35 < Gust <= 58 ---------> MODERATE Wind > 40 or Gust > 58 ---------> HIGH -------------------------------------------------------------------------