Research: List of Refereed Publications

• Childs, S.J. and R.S. Schumacher, 0: Cold-season Tornado Risk Communication: Case Studies from November 2016 –February 2017. Wea. Climate Soc., in press.

• Childs, S.J., R.S. Schumacher, and J.T. Allen, 2018: Cold-season Tornadoes: Climatological and Meteorological Insights. Wea. Forecasting, in press.

• Herman, G.R., E.R. Nielsen, and R.S. Schumacher, 2018: Probabilistic Verification of Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 161–184.

• Peters, J.M., E.R. Nielsen, M.D. Parker, S.M. Hitchcock, and R.S. Schumacher, 2017: The impact of low-level moisture errors on model forecasts of an MCS observed during PECAN. Monthly Weather Review, 145, 3599-3624.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2017: Heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Invited contribution, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science.

• Schumacher, R.S., and J.M. Peters, 2017: Near-surface thermodynamic sensitivities in simulated extreme-rain-producing mesoscale convective systems. Monthly Weather Review, 145, 2177-2200.

• Geerts. B., and Coauthors (including R.S. Schumacher), 2017: The 2015 Plains Elevated Convection At Night (PECAN) field project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98, 767-786.

• Nielsen, E.R., G.R. Herman, R.C. Tournay, J.M. Peters, and R.S. Schumacher, 2016: Reply to "Comments on 'Double Impact: When both tornadoes and flash floods threaten the same place at the same time.'" Weather and Forecasting, 31, 1723-1727.

• Herman, G.R., and R.S. Schumacher, 2016: Extreme Precipitation in Models: An Evaluation. Weather and Forecasting, 31, 1853-1879.

• Nielsen, E.R., and R.S. Schumacher, 2016: Using Convection-Allowing Ensembles to Understand the Predictability of an Extreme Rainfall Event. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 3651-3676.

• Schroeder, A.J. and Coauthors (including R.S. Schumacher), 2016: The Development of a Flash Flood Severity Index. Journal of Hydrology, 541, 523-532.

• Peters, J.M., and R.S. Schumacher, 2016: Dynamics Governing a Simulated Mesoscale Convective System with a Training Convective Line. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73, 2643-2664.

• Herman, G.R., and R.S. Schumacher, 2016: Using Reforecasts to Improve Forecasting of Fog and Visibility for Aviation. Weather and Forecasting, 31, 467-482.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2016: The Studies of Precipitation, flooding, and Rainfall Extremes Across Disciplines (SPREAD) workshop: An interdisciplinary research and education initiative. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 1791-1796.

• Trapp, R.J., D.J. Stensrud, M.C. Coniglio, R.S. Schumacher, M.E. Baldwin, S. Waugh, and D.T. Conlee, 2016: Mobile radiosonde deployments during the Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX): Rapid and adaptive sampling of upscale convective feedbacks. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 329-336.

• Nielsen, E.R., R.S. Schumacher, and A.M. Keclik, 2016: The Effect of the Balcones Escarpment on Three Cases of Extreme Precipitation in Central Texas. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 119-138.

• Nielsen, E.R., G.R. Herman, R.C. Tournay, J.M. Peters, and R.S. Schumacher, 2015: Double Impact: When both tornadoes and flash floods threaten the same place at the same time. Weather and Forecasting, 30, 1673-1693.

• Morales, A., R.S. Schumacher, and S.M. Kreidenweis, 2015: Mesoscale vortex development during extreme precipitation: Colorado, September 2013. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 4943-4962.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2015: Resolution dependence of initiation and upscale growth of deep convection in convection-allowing forecasts of the 31 May-1 June 2013 supercell and MCS. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 4331-4354.

• Trier, S.B., G.S. Romine, D.A. Ahijevych, R.J. Trapp, R.S. Schumacher, M.C. Coniglio, and D.J. Stensrud, 2015: Mesoscale thermodynamic influences on convection initiation near a surface dryline in a convection-permitting ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 3726-3753.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2015: Sensitivity of precipitation accumulation in elevated convective systems to small changes in low-level moisture. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 2507-2524.

• Peters, J.M., and R.S. Schumacher, 2015: The simulated structure and evolution of a quasi-idealized warm season convective system with a training convective line. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 1987-2010.

• Weisman, M.L., and Coauthors (including R.S. Schumacher), 2015: The Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 2127-2149.

• Gochis, D., R.S. Schumacher, and Coauthors, 2015: The Great Colorado Flood of September 2013. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 1461-1487.

• Schumacher, R.S., D.M. Schultz, and J.A. Knox, 2015: Influence of terrain resolution on banded convection in the lee of the Rocky Mountains. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 1399-1416.

• Peters, J.M., and R.S. Schumacher, 2015: Mechanisms for organization and echo training in a flash-flood-producing mesoscale convective system. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 1058-1085.

• Schumacher, R.S., and A.J. Clark, 2014: Evaluation of ensemble configurations for the analysis and prediction of heavy-rain-producing mesoscale convective systems. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 4108-4138.

• Stevenson, S.N., and R.S. Schumacher, 2014: A 10-year survey of extreme rainfall events in the central and eastern United States using gridded multisensor precipitation analyses. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 3147-3162.

• Johnson, R.H., R.S. Schumacher, J.H. Ruppert, Jr., D.T. Lindsey, J.E. Ruthford, and L. Kriederman, 2014: The role of convective outflow in the Waldo Canyon Fire. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 3061-3080.

• Peters, J.M., and R.S. Schumacher, 2014: Objective categorization of heavy-rain-producing MCS synoptic types by rotated principal component analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 1716-1737.

• Lynch, S.L., and R.S. Schumacher, 2014: Ensemble-based Analysis of the May 2010 Extreme Rainfall in Tennessee and Kentucky. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 222-239.

• Hitchens, N.M., H.E. Brooks, and R.S. Schumacher, 2013: Temporal characteristics of heavy hourly rainfall in the United States. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4564-4575.

• Schumacher, R.S., A.J. Clark, M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2013: Factors influencing the development and maintenance of nocturnal heavy-rain-producing convective systems in a storm-scale ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 2278-2801.

• Keene, K.M., and R.S. Schumacher, 2013: The bow and arrow mesoscale convective structure. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 1648-1672.

• Schumacher, R.S., and T.J. Galarneau, Jr., 2012: Moisture transport into midlatitudes ahead of recurving tropical cyclones and its relevance in two predecessor rain events. Monthly Weather Review, 140, 1810-1827.

• Bodner, M.J., N.W. Junker, R.H. Grumm, and R.S. Schumacher, 2011: Comparison of atmospheric circulation patterns during the 2008 and 1993 historic Midwest floods. National Weather Digest, 35, 103-119.

• Evans, C., R.S. Schumacher, and T.J. Galarneau, Jr., 2011: Sensitivity in the overland reintensification of Tropical Cyclone Erin (2007) to near-surface soil moisture characteristics. Monthly Weather Review, 139, 3848-3870.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2011: Ensemble-based analysis of factors leading to the development of a multi-day warm-season heavy rain event. Monthly Weather Review, 139, 3016-3035.

• Schumacher, R.S., T.J. Galarneau, Jr., and L.F. Bosart, 2011: Distant effects of a recurving tropical cyclone on rainfall in a midlatitude convective system: A high-impact predecessor rain event. Monthly Weather Review,139,650--667.

• Schumacher, R.S., D.M. Schultz, and J.A. Knox, 2010: Convective snowbands downstream of the Rocky Mountains in an environment with conditional, dry symmetric and inertial instabilities. Monthly Weather Review, 138, 4416-4438.

• Schumacher, R.S., D.T. Lindsey, A.B. Schumacher, J. Braun, S.D. Miller, and J.L. Demuth, 2010: Multidisciplinary analysis of an unusual tornado: Meteorology, climatology, and the communication and interpretation of warnings. Weather and Forecasting, 25, 1412-1429.

• Galarneau, T. J. Jr., L. F. Bosart, and R. S. Schumacher, 2010: Predecessor Rain Events ahead of tropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 138, 3272--3297.

• Schumacher, R. S., and C. A. Davis, 2010: Ensemble-based forecast uncertainty analysis of diverse heavy rain events. Weather and Forecasting, 25, 1103-1122.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2009: Mechanisms for Quasi-Stationary Behavior in Simulated Heavy-Rain-Producing Convective Systems. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66, 1543--1568.

• Schumacher, R.S., and R.H. Johnson, 2009: Quasi-Stationary, Extreme-Rain-Producing Convective Systems Associated with Midlevel Cyclonic Circulations. Weather and Forecasting, 24, 555--575.

• Schumacher, R. S., and R. H. Johnson, 2008: Mesoscale Processes Contributing to Extreme Rainfall in a Midlatitude Warm-Season Flash Flood. Monthly Weather Review, 136, 3964--39 86.

• Schumacher, R.S., and R.H. Johnson, 2006: Characteristics of United States Extreme Rain Events During 1999-2003.  Weather and Forecasting, 21, 69-85.

• Schumacher, R. S., and R. H. Johnson, 2005: Organization and environmental properties of extreme-rain-producing mesoscale convective systems. Monthly Weather Review, 133, 961-976.

Selected Other Publications

• Schumacher, R.S, 2014: Review of Mesoscale-Convective Processes in the Atmosphere by R.J. Trapp, Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 95, 122-123.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2013: Wet weeks in the warm season: Processes supporting widespread, multi-day precipitation episodes. NOAA Climate Prediction Science and Technology Digest, January 2013, 51-54.

• Schumacher, R.S, 2012: Review of Mesoscale Meteorology in Midlatitudes by Markowski and Richardson, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 412-414.

• Galarneau, T.J. Jr., L.F. Bosart, and R.S. Schumacher, 2009: Reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007) over Oklahoma. Conference Notebook, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90, 306-308.

• Schultz, D.M., R.S. Schumacher, and J.A. Knox, 2007: The unappreciated threat from inertial instability. Conference Notebook, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88, 1537.

• Schumacher, R.S., and R.H. Johnson, 2005: The organization of flood-inducing storms. Papers of Note, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 634-635.

• Schumacher, R.S., 2003: Climatological and radar-indicated characteristics of United States extreme rain events. M.S. thesis, Colorado State University.

• Schumacher, R.S., and D.M. Schultz, 2001: Inertial instability: climatology and possible relationship to severe weather predictability. Preprints, Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Fort Lauderdale, FL, American Meteorological Society, 372-375.